Ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d mang l\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u2018m\u1ec1m d\u1ebbo\u2019 c\u00f3 vai tr\u00f2 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong vi\u1ec7c ho\u00e1 gi\u1ea3i l\u1eddi nguy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1edbi mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp, ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Ho\u00e1 gi\u1ea3i l\u1eddi nguy\u1ec1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm b\u1ea3n s\u1eafc ri\u00eang, c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n
Ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, n\u00f3 thi\u1ebft th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 mang l\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cho trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i nhanh, ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng. \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1eabn l\u1ed1i b\u1edfi t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc k\u00e9m ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, b\u1ecb c\u00f4 l\u1eadp c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y h\u01a1n ba th\u1eadp ni\u00ean v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 giao th\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 30 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, hi\u1ec7n gi\u1edd, tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 150 n\u01b0\u1edbc, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ASEAN, EU, APEC, Anh Qu\u1ed1c, Nga…, v\u00e0 k\u00fd r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do.<\/p>\n
N\u0103m 2023 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ngo\u1ea1i giao n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 n\u0103m t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c khi v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u00e2ng quan h\u1ec7 v\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ea5p l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t – \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c To\u00e0n di\u1ec7n – trong chuy\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng du c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Joe Biden t\u1edbi H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i. Sau \u0111\u00f3 \u00edt ng\u00e0y c\u1ea5p quan h\u1ec7 cao nh\u1ea5t c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n trong chuy\u1ebfn tham c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch n\u01b0\u1edbc V\u00f5 V\u0103n Th\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi Tokyo. Ba th\u00e1ng sau, \u00f4ng T\u1ed5ng b\u00ed th\u01b0 \u0110\u1ea3ng CS, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ebfn H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 \u2018l\u00e0m m\u1edbi\u2019 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u201c\u0111\u1ed3ng ch\u00ed truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng\u201d Trung – Vi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u1ea1nh tranh M\u1ef9 – Trung.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Trong su\u1ed1t chi\u1ec1u d\u00e0i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2m ngo\u1ea1i giao ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng B\u1eafc l\u00e0 \u2018nhu \u0111\u1ea1o\u2019, \u2018trung \u0111\u1ea1o\u2019, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng \u2018c\u1ef1c \u0111oan\u2019 trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng. Trong th\u1eddi phong ki\u1ebfn \u201ctri\u1ec1u c\u1ed1ng\u201d l\u00e0 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u2018c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng\u2019 gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 l\u00e0 “v\u1eeba h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c, v\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea5u tranh” \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n. Hi\u1ec7n nay n\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00e1n nh\u00e3n ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 \u201ch\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00e9o l\u00e9o gi\u1eef c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u201d trong quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 \u201c\u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng an to\u00e0n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c\u201d\u00a0 <\/span>m\u00e0 c\u00f2n gi\u00fap \u201cH\u00e0 N\u1ed9i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch duy tr\u00ec quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c nhau\u201d c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, kh\u00e1c nhau v\u1ec1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u201cb\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi nhau.\u201d<\/p>\n Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch n\u01b0\u1edbc V\u00f5 V\u0103n Th\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Joe Biden b\u1eaft tay t\u1ea1i H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i h\u00f4m 11\/9\/2023. AFP<\/p>\n V\u1ec1 h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d mang t\u00ednh \u2018bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng\u2019 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi \u201cc\u00e2y tre Vi\u1ec7t Nam: g\u1ed1c v\u1eefng, th\u00e2n ch\u1eafc, c\u00e0nh uy\u1ec3n chuy\u1ec3n, th\u1ea5m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3m t\u00e2m h\u1ed3n, c\u1ed1t c\u00e1ch v\u00e0 kh\u00ed ph\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u201d nh\u01b0ng kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m ngo\u1ea1i giao n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0m s\u00e1ng t\u1ecf. Theo t\u00f4i, n\u1ebfu g\u1eafn v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2m \u201cl\u1ea5y d\u00e2n l\u00e0m g\u1ed1c\u201d th\u00ec n\u1ed9i h\u00e0m c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c lu\u1eadn c\u1ee9 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc h\u01a1n. D\u00e2n l\u00e0 \u2018m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ed1ng\u2019 v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00ed nh\u01b0\u00a0 <\/span>\u2018n\u01b0\u1edbc cho thuy\u1ec1n chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng\u2019 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u2018l\u00e0m l\u1eadt thuy\u1ec1n.\u2019 Trong th\u1eddi phong ki\u1ebfn t\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi tri\u1ebft l\u00fd nho gi\u00e1o \u201cvua \u2013 t\u00f4i.\u201d M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3ng c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 c\u1ed9i ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n, b\u1edfi v\u1eady vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u201c\u0110\u1ea3ng \u2013 Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ea1nh\u201d \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 \u2018g\u1ed1c\u2019 cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u00e2y tre, c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 b\u00f3p ngh\u1eb9t c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 hi\u1ec7n nay.\u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0, t\u1eeb g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c ho\u00e1 gi\u1ea3i l\u1eddi nguy\u1ec1n \u2018l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng\u2019<\/span><\/a> v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 n\u00eau, chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng T\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 12 m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a hai \u0111\u1ea3ng – nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 \u201cr\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.\u201d B\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn nh\u01b0 v\u1eady n\u1ebfu b\u1ecf qua y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ngo\u1ea1i giao th\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec7n minh, r\u1eb1ng l\u1eddi nguy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1eabn \u201cthi\u00eang\u201d khi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ea3ng CS to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u1edf hai n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 l\u1eabn nhau. Qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o \u2018Thi\u00ean tri\u1ec1u\u2019 v\u1eabn \u0111ang quay v\u00e0, Vi\u1ec7t Nam d\u00f9 \u2018mi\u1ec5n c\u01b0\u1ee1ng\u2019 nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn xoay quanh nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t\u00a0 <\/span>\u2018v\u1ec7 tinh!\u2019 Gi\u1edbi tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n \u201ccung \u0111\u00ecnh\u201d \u0111\u00e3 \u2018c\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh ph\u1edbt l\u1edd\u2019 r\u1eb1ng, c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u01a1n 70% ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n \u201cth\u00edch\u201d M\u1ef9 trong khi ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn 30% t\u1ecf th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, trong \u0111\u00f3 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u201cl\u1eddi nguy\u1ec1n\u201d \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng. Theo quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh, v\u1ec1 th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 gi\u1ed1ng nhau v\u1ec1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a \u201cc\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng chung v\u1eadn m\u1ec7nh\u201d, tuy nhi\u00ean ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d khi\u1ebfn H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i t\u1ecf ra \u2018 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t\u2019, t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 h\u01a1n n\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 d\u00f9ng c\u00e1ch di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ea1t ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u201cc\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng chia s\u1ebb t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai\u201d.<\/p>\n \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1eabn d\u1eaft b\u1edfi t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng b\u1edfi \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970 (\u1edf \u0111\u00e2y, n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a Henry Kissinger n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn!) m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Trung Qu\u1ed1c, trong \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch m\u1edf c\u1eeda v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch d\u1ea7n thay th\u1ebf ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ho\u00e1 t\u1eadp trung, quan li\u00eau, bao c\u1ea5p trong th\u1eddi x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a t\u01b0 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng k\u1ef3 di\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i GDP v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh n\u0103m hai con s\u1ed1 trong su\u1ed1t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n ba th\u1ebf k\u1ef7. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi t\u1eeb 2011 v\u00e0 nay c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng GDP kho\u1ea3ng 18,000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la. Tuy nhi\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0110\u1ea3ng CS l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng b\u1ed9c l\u1ed9 b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1eeb khi \u00f4ng T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1ed1i cao, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 suy gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng GDP xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 5% m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nh\u01b0 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng, n\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng cao, gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t, gi\u00e0 ho\u00e1 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1, thanh ni\u00ean th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p nhi\u1ec1u, kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ecba \u1ed1c, tham nh\u0169ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng tr\u00e0n lan, b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng, d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n \u2018\u0111i xu\u1ed1ng\u2019\u2026 \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (FDI) n\u0103m 2023 gi\u1ea3m 70% so v\u1edbi 2022 cho th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ngo\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady hung h\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u00d4ng T\u1eadp \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 suy gi\u1ea3m kinh t\u1ebf. Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u2018ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c\u2019 h\u01a1n Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n nay. M\u00e2u thu\u1eabn gi\u1eefa l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t TBCN v\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t XHCN \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0, \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u1ee7a K. Marx c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nghi\u00eam t\u00fac xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0, c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang b\u1ecb h\u1ecd th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb. C\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u00e0 t\u1ed1t nh\u01b0ng, tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i, s\u1ef1 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra b\u1edfi s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, ngo\u1ea1i giao, tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf, trong \u0111\u00f3 hai l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c sau c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn nhau v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00fd gi\u1ea3i v\u00ec sao M\u1ef9 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1ec1 trong su\u1ed1t th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 hai m\u01b0\u01a1i cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng trong t\u1ed5ng GDP to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m \u0111i (do \u0111i\u1ec3m xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t kinh t\u1ebf\u00a0 <\/span>th\u1ea5p m\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 GDP c\u1ee7a b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi t\u0103ng l\u00ean\u00a0 <\/span>c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1ed1t cho ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n!) nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 25,000 t\u1ef7 $ GDP M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn v\u00e0 s\u1ebd chi ph\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 t\u1ef1 h\u00e0o v\u1ec1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1ef1 do c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1edbi \u01b0u th\u1ebf th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia. H\u1ecd \u201cmay m\u1eafn\u201d khi Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u1eadp qu\u1ed1c trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eafng th\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ba \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n: (1) M\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi sinh ra \u0111\u1ec1u b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng; (2) M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc; v\u00e0 (3) Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 nh\u1eefng quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f3; V\u00e0, ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn \u2018t\u00f4n th\u1edd\u2019 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 Adam Smith v\u00e0 John Locke m\u00e0 c\u00f2n ca ng\u1ee3i Thomas Jefferson, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1eafp b\u00fat cho Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p n\u0103m 1776, George Washington \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m g\u01b0\u01a1ng khi ch\u1ec9 \u1edf c\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ecb T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng hai nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng cai tr\u1ecb su\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eddi hay James Madison v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng v\u0129 \u0111\u1ea1i khi \u00f4ng \u1ea5y v\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u2018tu ch\u00ednh\u2019 Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7. Tuy nhi\u00ean, h\u1ecd c\u0169ng bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp nh\u01b0 g\u00e2y chia r\u1ebd, ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, ch\u1eadm ch\u1ea1p, b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng gi\u00e0u ngh\u00e8o\u2026 v\u00e0, khi \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e2u n\u00f3i c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Anh Winston Churchill r\u1eb1ng \u201cd\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 l\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u00edt t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t\u2026\u201d th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n Ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d \u0111ang gi\u00fap Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u1ea1nh tranh M\u1ef9 – Trung. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 v\u00ec kinh t\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y tre\u201d c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u00ecm b\u1ea3n s\u1eafc ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trong \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3 l\u1eddi nguy\u1ec1n \u2018l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng\u2019 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a \u0111ang th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u00e0 t\u1eeb quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u01b0 b\u1ea3n nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb kh\u00e1c nhau. B\u1edfi v\u1eady, s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p, hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c. C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng khi vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1edbi c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7. \u0110\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 ch\u00eca kho\u00e1 c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n hi\u1ec7n nay.<\/p>\n