{"id":45398,"date":"2024-01-22T07:14:24","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T15:14:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sweet-pascal.52-27-215-206.plesk.page\/mo-hinh-chuyen-che-tang-truong-kieu-trung-quoc-da-het-thoi\/"},"modified":"2024-01-22T07:14:24","modified_gmt":"2024-01-22T15:14:24","slug":"mo-hinh-chuyen-che-tang-truong-kieu-trung-quoc-da-het-thoi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/mo-hinh-chuyen-che-tang-truong-kieu-trung-quoc-da-het-thoi\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf – t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ki\u1ec3u Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ebft th\u1eddi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Suy gi\u1ea3m kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi suy tho\u00e1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 cho l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f3 xu\u1ea5t s\u1ee9 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang k\u1ebft th\u00fac. \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1eabn d\u1eaft b\u1edfi t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng, \u201cm\u00e8o tr\u1eafng m\u00e8o \u0111en kh\u00f4ng quan tr\u1ecdng mi\u1ec5n b\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chu\u1ed9t\u201d, v\u00e0 duy \u00fd ch\u00ed v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a t\u1eadp th\u1ec3, ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a M\u00e1c \u2013 L\u00eanin \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf sang th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf – t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. N\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m Trung Qu\u1ed1c tho\u00e1t ngh\u00e8o, tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh cao nh\u1edd \u201c\u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i\u201d d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n l\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh cho ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0110\u1ea3ng c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u201cth\u1ea7n k\u1ef3\u201d k\u00e9o d\u00e0i trong su\u1ed1t h\u01a1n ba m\u01b0\u01a1i n\u0103m khi\u1ebfn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cl\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng\u201d cho nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. L\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1ec1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 noi theo \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng, nh\u01b0ng \u2018k\u00e9m\u2019 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng h\u01a1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u1eefng g\u00ec di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, c\u0169ng x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam. C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf – t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111ang l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1edbn hi\u1ec7n nay h\u00e0m \u00fd cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/a> tr\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1ec9 ra th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng ch\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng CS v\u1eabn kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, nguy c\u01a1 t\u1ed3n vong ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 v\u1eabn l\u1edbn, \u201c\u0110\u1ea3ng \u2013 Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc\u201d v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u201ctrong s\u1ea1ch\u201d trong khi d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n b\u1ecb c\u1ea5m \u0111o\u00e1n v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7. C\u0103n nguy\u00ean c\u1ee7a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1eb1m ngay trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf – t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng khi ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh v\u00e0 tham nh\u0169ng tr\u00e0n lan, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c tham nh\u0169ng, chi\u1ebfm v\u1ecb tr\u00ed th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb, trong \u0111\u00f3 vi\u1ec7c trao \u0111\u1ed5i quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201clu\u1eadt b\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh v\u0103n\u201d. Nay, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u2018kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng\u2019 \u201cngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd\u201d \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u th\u00e0nh \u201cthu\u1eadn l\u00fd\u201d khi quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c b\u1ecb tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u00e1, l\u1ea1m d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 tha ho\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u0111ang l\u00e0m hu\u1ef7 ho\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1edd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

L\u00fd thuy\u1ebft v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh r\u1eb1ng, ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd n\u00eau tr\u00ean, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan nh\u00e2n qu\u1ea3, nh\u01b0ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u tra t\u1eeb 65 qu\u1ed1c gia, t\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n ba t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc, T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn r\u1ee7i ro qu\u1ed1c gia qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (Ti\u1ebfng Anh l\u00e0 ICRS – International Country Risk Guide ) \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c l\u1eadp m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng bi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tham nh\u0169ng v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. Ngo\u00e0i ra, m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a ph\u00f3 gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 khoa h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Yuen Yuen Ang (\u6d2a\u6e90\u8fdc) c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y trong cu\u1ed1n “Th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i v\u00e0ng son c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c: Ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 tham nh\u0169ng tr\u00e0n lan” (Ti\u1ebfng Anh l\u00e0 China’s Gilded Age: The Paradox of Economic Boom and Vast Corruption, 2020). H\u1ecdc gi\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Michigan, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u2018ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a\u2019 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 Th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i V\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 19. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nhau tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a t\u01b0 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n h\u1eefu. \u1ede M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c trong khi \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng ki\u1ec3u \u201c\u0111\u1ea3 h\u1ed5 di\u1ec7t ru\u1ed3i.\u201d<\/p>\n

L\u00e0m s\u00e2u s\u1eafc th\u00eam th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0y \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch \u201c\u0111\u1ed1t l\u00f2\u201d \u0111ang g\u1eb7p th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn khi\u1ebfn ni\u1ec1m tin ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3m s\u00fat, di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u1ec1 t\u1ef1 do, d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf \u2018ki\u1ec3u c\u0169\u2019, ki\u1ec3u Mao, \u0111ang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u201cm\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd\u201d m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u00ec \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1edd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb hu\u1ef7 ho\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7, \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP theo th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea l\u00e0 nhanh nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u2018c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o\u2019 l\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng\u201d, b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edf cao cho th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1ec7 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh tr\u1ee5c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng \u201cmong manh\u201d tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ea5n n\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1, trong \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n \u201cs\u1edf h\u1eefu to\u00e0n d\u00e2n\u201d v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111ai v\u00e0 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb tr\u1ee5c l\u1ee3i do tha ho\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u0169ng \u00ec \u1ea1ch\u2026 H\u01a1n th\u1ebf, m\u1ed9t th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf \u201ckhai th\u00e1c\u201d chi ph\u1ed1i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf khi l\u00fd lu\u1eadn gi\u00e1o \u0111i\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i l\u1ea5n \u00e1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u2026<\/p>\n

G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn quan tr\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng. Ngh\u0129a l\u00e0, c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u2013 nh\u01b0 quy\u1ec1n s\u1edf h\u1eefu, s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p, c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh doanh, n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i\u2026 l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf. Gi\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf – Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 lu\u00f4n nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ef1 c\u1ea5p thi\u1ebft v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngh\u00e8o tr\u1edf n\u00ean ngh\u00e8o kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 thi\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ecd thi\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u0110\u00fang h\u01a1n, ch\u00ednh vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u1edf n\u00ean ngh\u00e8o n\u00e0n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u2018th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng\u2019 ch\u1ec9 khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n b\u1edfi th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c b\u1edfi tam quy\u1ec1n ph\u00e2n l\u1eadp, x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i d\u00e2n s\u1ef1\u2026 Nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh, v\u00ec v\u1eady vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng, n\u00e2ng cao n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m nh\u1eefng vi\u1ec7c \u201cvi d\u00e2n\u201d v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cho kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft. Vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang thi\u1ebfu y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m \u00fd ngh\u0129a cho vi\u1ec7c ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c thi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch!<\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf \u2013 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ki\u1ec3u Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang \u2018kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng\u2019 \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam, bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 suy tho\u00e1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. Th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111ang suy tho\u00e1i b\u1edfi hai c\u1ed9i ngu\u1ed3n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu, tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c n\u1ea1n tham nh\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c che \u0111\u1eady b\u1edfi ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd n\u00eau tr\u00ean, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u2018ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn\u2019 hay \u2018\u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i\u2019 tham nh\u0169ng l\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, gi\u1edbi tinh hoa c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u00e0nh t\u1ea7ng l\u1edbp quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 gi\u00e0u c\u00f3 trong khi ph\u00e2n ho\u00e1 gi\u00e0u ngh\u00e8o ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn. H\u1ecd theo \u0111u\u1ed5i m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch duy tr\u00ec h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n b\u1eb1ng b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c, tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p, t\u1eeb m\u1ea7m m\u1ed1ng, x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i d\u00e2n s\u1ef1, d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n v\u1ec1 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng, ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n. Ch\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng ki\u1ec3u \u201cta \u0111\u00e1nh ta\u201d kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 khi nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u00f4ng khai minh b\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh b\u1ecb hu\u1ef7 ho\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1ee9ng nh\u1eafc v\u1ec1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c. Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 lu\u00f4n nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c theo c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a V. L\u00eanin v\u1ec1 nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf. Theo \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng quy t\u1eafc chi ph\u1ed1i cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra v\u00e0, sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ed1 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 n\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi gi\u00e1 theo c\u00e1ch \u201cc\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7.\u201d Ngay c\u1ea3 khi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 ra th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng theo c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00f3, nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c thay \u0111\u1ed5i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh khi\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o r\u1ea5t \u2018do d\u1ef1.\u2019 Fransis Fukuyama, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Stanford, M\u1ef9, trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch\u00a0 v\u1ec1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ecbch sang ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t, c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a th\u00e2n h\u1eefu \u1edf M\u1ef9 trong cu\u1ed1i th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 19 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20 l\u00e0 \u201cm\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i g\u1ea7n hai th\u1ebf h\u1ec7.\u201d\u00a0 M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf – t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, theo GS Fukuyama, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ki\u1ec3u \u2018m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tinh th\u1ea7n\u2019, \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00fang. Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea3ng CS trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 quay l\u1ea1i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb ki\u1ec3u Mao v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp, m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn trong khi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng nh\u1eefng \u2018ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n k\u00e9p\u2019. \u0110i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh nh\u01b0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u2018nh\u00edch\u2019 g\u1ea7n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y – c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u2018m\u1eddi g\u1ecdi\u2019 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i trong khi ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t g\u1eaft gao t\u1ef1 do c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n, d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 suy tho\u00e1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb mang t\u00ednh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf – t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ki\u1ec3u Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a C\u00e1c M\u00e1c v\u1ec1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, gi\u1eefa th\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea7ng ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac v\u00e0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9. C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t\u00a0 \u2018th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf bao tr\u00f9m\u2019 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng l\u00e0 t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u2018\u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1\u2019 v\u1ec1 t\u01b0 duy. D\u00f9 s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i \u201ch\u00e0nh lang h\u1eb9p\u201d (Ti\u1ebfng Anh: The Narrow Corridor) nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7n hy v\u1ecdng. M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, ng\u00e0y 16\/1\/2024 \u00f4ng Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Vi\u1ec7t Nam Ph\u1ea1m Minh Ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n Kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WEF) t\u1ea1i Davos, Th\u1ee5y S\u0129, r\u1eb1ng: \u201cKh\u00f4ng qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh n\u1ebfu gi\u1eef t\u01b0 duy c\u0169!\u201d<\/p>\n

____________<\/p>\n

Tham kh\u1ea3o:<\/p>\n

(1) T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi:\u00a0https:\/\/infographics.vn\/interactive-gdp-cua-viet-nam-qua-35-nam-doi-moi\/21395.vna<\/a>;\u00a0https:\/\/kinhtemoitruong.vn\/infographic-tang-truong-gdp-viet-nam-qua-cac-nam-84290.html<\/a>.<\/p>\n

(2) Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn tham nh\u0169ng (CPI):\u00a0https:\/\/www.transparency.org\/en\/cpi\/2022<\/a>\u00a0;\u00a0https:\/\/vi.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ch\u1ec9_s\u1ed1_nh\u1eadn_th\u1ee9c_tham_nh\u0169ng<\/a>.<\/p>\n

(3) M\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP so v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c tham nh\u00fcng (CPI) tai Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2012-2022:\u00a0\u00a0https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/publication\/worldwide-governance-indicators<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n

(4) V\u1ee5 \u00e1n AIC \u0110\u1ed3ng Nai:\u00a0https:\/\/tuoitre.vn\/vu-aic-cuu-bi-thu-dong-nai-linh-11-nam-tu-cuu-chu-tich-tinh-9-nam-tu-20230103235034039.htm<\/a>; V\u1ee5 \u00e1n \u2018nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ebfn bay gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee9u\u2019 :\u00a0https:\/\/tuoitre.vn\/vu-chuyen-bay-giai-cuu-so-tien-cac-doanh-nghiep-dua-cho-cac-bi-cao-la-dac-biet-lon-2023072810153938.htm<\/a>; V\u1ee5 \u00e1n \u2018Vi\u1ec7t \u00c1\u2019:\u00a0https:\/\/tuoitre.vn\/vu-viet-a-muc-an-toa-tuyen-cho-38-bi-cao-20240112170357182.htm<\/a>; V\u1ee5 \u00e1n \u2018V\u1ea1n Th\u1ecbnh Ph\u00e1t\u2019:\u00a0https:\/\/xaydungchinhsach.chinhphu.vn\/truy-na-7-bi-can-trong-vu-an-xay-ra-tai-ngan-hang-scb-va-tap-doan-van-thinh-phat-119231029192725111.htm<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tin t\u1eeb RFA Read More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Suy gi\u1ea3m kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi suy tho\u00e1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 cho l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f3 xu\u1ea5t s\u1ee9 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang k\u1ebft th\u00fac. \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1eabn d\u1eaft b\u1edfi t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng, \u201cm\u00e8o tr\u1eafng m\u00e8o \u0111en kh\u00f4ng quan tr\u1ecdng mi\u1ec5n b\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chu\u1ed9t\u201d, …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[82,239],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-society","category-vietnam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45398","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45398"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45398\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45398"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45398"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45398"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}