{"id":56039,"date":"2025-04-14T15:30:17","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T22:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/bon-the-ket-cua-viet-nam-khi-dam-phan-thue-quan-voi-my\/"},"modified":"2025-04-14T15:30:17","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T22:30:17","slug":"bon-the-ket-cua-viet-nam-khi-dam-phan-thue-quan-voi-my","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/bon-the-ket-cua-viet-nam-khi-dam-phan-thue-quan-voi-my\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u1ed1n th\u1ebf k\u1eb9t c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam khi \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n thu\u1ebf quan v\u1edbi M\u1ef9"},"content":{"rendered":"
H\u00f4m 9 th\u00e1ng T\u01b0, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 75 qu\u1ed1c gia trong v\u00f2ng 90 ng\u00e0y. Trong th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y, Hoa K\u1ef3 ch\u1ec9 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 10% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ec3 tr\u00ean. <\/p>\n
\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian ho\u00e3n binh \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3. <\/p>\n
Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb Hoa K\u1ef3 ho\u00e3n \u00e1p thu\u1ebf t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ebfn ba th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. B\u00e2y gi\u1edd Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u1ea1i nguy\u1ec7n. V\u1eady Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? <\/p>\n
Trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi RFA, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Zachary Abuza \u1edf \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Chi\u1ebfn tranh Qu\u1ed1c gia Hoa K\u1ef3 nh\u1eadt x\u00e9t r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 r\u1ea5t x\u1ee9ng \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn. \u00d4ng T\u00f4 L\u00e2m \u0111\u00e3 vi\u1ebft th\u01b0 v\u00e0 n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n v\u1edbi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump \u0111\u1ec3 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng, ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c c\u1eed Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn Washington \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1edbi USTR (C\u01a1 quan \u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3) v\u00e0 B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3. Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u00f4m v\u00e0 th\u00e9p nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n vi\u1ec7c trung chuy\u1ec3n c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n
Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng, nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng gi\u00fap Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c to l\u1edbn \u0111ang ch\u1edd trong ba th\u00e1ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n s\u1eafp \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n
T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed th\u01b0 T\u00f4 L\u00e2m \u0111\u00e3 ra m\u1eb7t g\u00e1nh v\u00e1c tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump. Th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn m\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u00f4 L\u00e2m ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf Hoa K\u1ef3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t l\u00ean Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eeba \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m c\u00f4ng \u0103n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 cho kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u, qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn, qu\u00e1 l\u00e2u. Nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a T\u00f4 L\u00e2m do \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3. C\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 \u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m cho Hoa K\u1ef3 tin t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ra m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf h\u1ee3p l\u00fd h\u01a1n. C\u00e1i \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f2n t\u00f9y v\u00e0o nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u00eda sau: M\u1ef9 mu\u1ed1n g\u00ec v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t c\u1ee7a TS. Nguy\u1ec5n Huy V\u0169. <\/p>\n
Bi\u1ebft M\u1ef9 mu\u1ed1n g\u00ec l\u00fac n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5. B\u1edfi l\u1ebd \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n Peter Navarro l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p kh\u00e1c nhau v\u1ec1 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Vi\u1ec7c nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p kh\u00e1c nhau khi\u1ebfn cho vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u00fang tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. \u00d4ng Trump n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e0y, c\u00f2n \u00f4ng Pete Naravo l\u1ea1i n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n kh\u00e1c. \u00d4ng Trump ch\u1ec9 n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, c\u00f2n Navarro l\u1ea1i n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n Vi\u1ec7t Nam cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u01b0\u1ee3n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9. <\/p>\n
TS Nguy\u1ec5n Huy V\u0169 nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu theo l\u1eddi \u00f4ng Trump th\u00ec Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee7. Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y d\u1ec5 h\u01a1n v\u00ec Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n mua th\u00eam h\u00e0ng M\u1ef9. Nh\u01b0ng theo Peter Navarro th\u00ec v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n: Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh trung gian \u0111\u1ec3 cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9. B\u00e2y gi\u1edd Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i h\u1ecfi th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9: r\u1ed1t c\u1ee5c, c\u00e1c anh mu\u1ed1n c\u00e1i g\u00ec. V\u00ec ph\u1ea3i bi\u1ebft M\u1ef9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 mu\u1ed1n g\u00ec th\u00ec m\u1edbi gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1. <\/i><\/p>\n
C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi d\u00e0nh cho M\u1ef9 \u201cc\u00e1c anh mu\u1ed1n g\u00ec?\u201d, m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi kh\u00f3. Trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi RFA, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n Ch\u1eef, nguy\u00ean Tr\u01b0\u1edfng khoa Kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 Kinh doanh \u1edf \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Houston at Downtown cho r\u1eb1ng b\u00e0i to\u00e1n m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i qu\u00e1 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u01b0a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n. B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb k\u1eb9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. <\/p>\n
Theo GS Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n Ch\u1eef, M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0m c\u00e1nh c\u1eeda \u0111\u1ec3 cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, khi\u1ebfn \u00f4ng Trump ph\u1ea3i ho\u00e3n 90 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf. Trung Hoa \u0111\u00e3 bao v\u00e2y kinh t\u1ebf Hoa K\u1ef3 \u1edf kh\u1eafp c\u00e1c b\u00e0n c\u1edd qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia, khu v\u1ef1c Canada, Nam M\u1ef9, \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, Nam \u00c1, Li\u00ean \u00c2u \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1ed1ng nhau v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c: nh\u1eadp si\u00eau v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t si\u00eau v\u00e0o M\u1ef9. C\u00e1i ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u00f3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2u m\u00e0 ra? GS Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n Ch\u1eef \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi. C\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i m\u1ed9t b\u00e0n c\u1edd r\u1ea5t th\u00e2m s\u00e2u v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Do \u0111\u00f3, M\u1ef9 mu\u1ed1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u00e1ch kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng m\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng l\u1ec7 thu\u1ed9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c. <\/p>\n
Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1ecb m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9. M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb k\u1eb9t v\u00ec n\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0a s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9 th\u00ec M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 nh\u00e2n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m. GS Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n Ch\u1eef cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do M\u1ef9 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p Nam M\u1ef9, \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Nam M\u1ef9 ch\u1ec9 10% \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u1ec1 khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y. L\u00e0m c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, ngay c\u1ea3 khi thu\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng kho\u1ea3ng 20% \u0111\u1ebfn 30%? Theo v\u1ecb c\u1ef1u tr\u01b0\u1edfng khoa Kinh t\u1ebf – Kinh doanh \u1edf \u0110H Houston at Downtown, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 b\u00e0i to\u00e1n kh\u00f3 tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi. <\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ebfn h\u1ebft n\u0103m 2024, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i<\/a> c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 80 t\u1ef7 USD. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, n\u0103m 2024 Vi\u1ec7t Nam xu\u1ea5t sang M\u1ef9 119 t\u1ef7 USD, nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 ch\u1ec9 15 t\u1ef7 USD. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i<\/a> l\u00ean t\u1edbi 104 t\u1ef7 USD. T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n nay (80 t\u1ef7 USD) kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 cho m\u1ed9t n\u0103m. Nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7t ra h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi: Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mua g\u00ec t\u1eeb M\u1ef9? M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m mua h\u00e0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f3 nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng? <\/p>\n Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ec3 cho M\u1ef9 th\u1ea5y h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n gi\u1ea3m th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i hai chi\u1ec1u. Theo Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Zachary, ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd nhanh ch\u00f3ng ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn 5 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean gi\u1eefa H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i v\u00e0 Washington D.C. <\/p>\n \u201c\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i ph\u1ea3i h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1eeb Hoa K\u1ef3, trong khi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt. Do \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn l\u1edbn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 mua m\u00e1y bay v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i C-130 hay m\u00e1y bay d\u00e2n d\u1ee5ng Boeing. Ngo\u00e0i ra, H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd k\u00fd m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua kh\u00ed h\u00f3a l\u1ecfng LNG v\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch nhanh nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n LNG c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Th\u1ee9 hai, t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng doanh nghi\u1ec7p Hoa K\u1ef3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng cho h\u1ecd. Th\u1ee9 ba, H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng cam k\u1ebft ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trung chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0, H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 quy\u1ec1n s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3. Th\u1ee9 n\u0103m, t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 khai th\u00e1c v\u00e0 t\u00e1i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm.\u201d<\/i><\/p>\n Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7t ra: vi\u1ec7c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1ecf ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i ra mua th\u00eam h\u00e0ng M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1eb7t ra kh\u00f4ng? Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p n\u00e0o kh\u00e1c hay kh\u00f4ng? \u0110i li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi n\u00e0y l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u201cVi\u1ec7t Nam thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7\u201d. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch l\u00fd do Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t si\u00eau \u1ed3 \u1ea1t v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Hoa K\u1ef3, cao h\u01a1n m\u01b0\u1eddi l\u1ea7n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y. Do \u0111\u00f3, trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 gi\u1ea3m th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, theo GS Zachary Abuza, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. <\/p>\n M\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa, \u201cthao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7\u201d l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf k\u1eb9t kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. M\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi RFA trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u1ea9n danh, cho bi\u1ebft th\u1ef1c ra Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e2u nay \u201c\u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m g\u1ea7n ch\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 th\u00eam\u201d<\/i> ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u1ed1 ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. B\u00e2y gi\u1edd trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u1ea3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi suy gi\u1ea3m kinh t\u1ebf, vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef cho ti\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 th\u00eam n\u1eefa \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 b\u1ea5t kh\u1ea3 thi r\u1ed3i. Do \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n Vi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh b\u1ecb k\u1ebft t\u1ed9i \u201cthao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7\u201d nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. <\/p>\n Trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi RFA, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 V\u0169 Minh Kh\u01b0\u01a1ng, Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng L\u00fd Quang Di\u1ec7u, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Qu\u1ed1c gia Singapore, cho r\u1eb1ng \u201cqu\u00e2n b\u00e0i\u201d ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam khi \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 trong ba th\u00e1ng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi l\u00e0 \u201cv\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n bi\u1ebfn th\u00f9 th\u00e0nh b\u1ea1n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh t\u00e2m v\u00e0 tr\u00e2n tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9.\u201d<\/i> Trong nh\u1eefng g\u00ec Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3, nh\u1eefng qu\u00e2n b\u00e0i nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm hay nh\u1eefng qu\u00e2n b\u00e0i t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ed9ng ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n thu\u1ebf quan n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n Theo Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 V\u0169 Minh Kh\u01b0\u01a1ng, n\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 ch\u01a1i th\u1eadt t\u00ecnh v\u00e0 h\u00e0o hi\u1ec7p v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, M\u1ef9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh theo ph\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o? Theo h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0, ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00f3a b\u1ecf r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng M\u1ef9. Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec7u ki\u1ec7n cao nh\u1ea5t cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, kinh doanh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7. Theo GS V\u0169 Minh Kh\u01b0\u01a1ng, n\u1ebfu l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7c s\u1eafc. Khi \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u201cth\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p\u201d t\u1ed1t cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 B\u1eafc H\u00e0n, Nga, Iran.<\/p>\n Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n Ch\u1eef, k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u1ebfn nay, tr\u1ea3i qua ch\u01b0a t\u1edbi m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu. <\/p>\n D\u1eabn l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Trung t\u00e2m Stratford t\u1eebng li\u1ec7t k\u00ea 16 qu\u1ed1c gia, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n khi Trump kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng thu\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfn \u1edf nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 m\u1ed9t, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n Ch\u1eef ch\u1ec9 ra l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n nay, \u1edf nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 2 c\u1ee7a Trump, vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m. <\/p>\nTh\u1ebf kh\u00f3 th\u1ee9 ba: v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu <\/h3>\n