Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, vi\u1ec7c T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed Th\u01b0 T\u00f4 L\u00e2m \u0111\u1eb7t ra m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP tr\u00ean 10% cho n\u0103m 2026 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau kinh t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n
\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt c\u1ed1 h\u1eefu: \u0110\u1ea3ng CSVN \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh cho ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu.<\/p>\n
M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u201ct\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u201cy\u00eau c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c,\u201d m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a \u201ck\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean v\u01b0\u01a1n m\u00ecnh\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2045. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1eb1ng sau nh\u1eefng kh\u1ea9u hi\u1ec7u h\u00e0o h\u00f9ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ph\u0169 ph\u00e0ng. C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh uy t\u00edn qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u. Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t Tri\u1ec3n Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 (ADB) ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1ee9c 6% cho n\u0103m 2026, trong khi Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n T\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf (IMF) c\u00f2n bi quan h\u01a1n v\u1edbi 5,6%.<\/p>\n
S\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan phi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n h\u00e9 l\u1ed9 m\u1ed9t \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3: con s\u1ed1 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb9p, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u00f3 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n
V\u1eady l\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau xa r\u1eddi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 v\u1eady? C\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c b\u01a1m thanh kho\u1ea3n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u1ed3 \u1ea1t v\u00e0o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea7y r\u1ee7i ro m\u00e0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed5 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n. Khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, v\u1edbi n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t lao \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 gi\u00e0 h\u00f3a, con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u1eafn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra \u1ea3o \u1ea3nh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng. Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 N\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng tr\u00ean GDP \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 134% v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n
V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i l\u00e0 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ea3y v\u00e0o s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra c\u00f4ng \u0103n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i \u0111a s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, n\u00f3 ch\u1ea3y v\u00e0o c\u00e1c k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1, bi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t s\u00f2ng b\u1ea1c kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3. Nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea tr\u1ea7n tr\u1ee5i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1i c\u00e3i.<\/p>\n
T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i Th\u00e1ng B\u1ea3y, 2025, d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00ecnh to l\u00ean t\u1edbi 4.08 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 VN\u0110, chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u01b0 (23.68%) t\u1ed5ng d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng n\u00f3i h\u01a1n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng trong d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n
Trong khi t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n mua nh\u00e0 v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch t\u1ef1 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng nh\u1ecf gi\u1ecdt 1.15%, th\u00ec d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed5 x\u00f4 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p kinh doanh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng phi m\u00e3, c\u00f3 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m l\u00ean t\u1edbi h\u01a1n 10% v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed 20% \u2013 cao g\u1ea5p nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng chung c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng. T\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nh\u01b0 Techcombank, d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 cho kinh doanh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n chi\u1ebfm t\u1edbi 34% t\u1ed5ng d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n
Vi\u1ec7c b\u01a1m ti\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng qua t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u00e2n sau, nh\u1eefng con n\u1ee3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng. C\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u00e0y \u0111ang ch\u00ecm trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ee3 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu. B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n l\u00e0 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u1eadm tr\u1ea3 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, chi\u1ebfm t\u1edbi 62% t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ch\u1eadm tr\u1ea3 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. T\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi con s\u1ed1 kh\u1ee7ng khi\u1ebfp 215,000 t\u1ef7 VN\u0110.<\/p>\n
M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt 43.84% ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u01a1m t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n
M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ed9 r\u00f5 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00edch th\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o n\u1ee3, duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 s\u1ed1ng cho c\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n \u0111ang b\u00ean b\u1edd v\u1ef1c s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5, tr\u00e1nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m lung lay s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n
\u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 nhu c\u1ea7u th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, m\u00e0 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfc phao c\u1ee9u sinh \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n
H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n l\u00e0 v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1. Gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n t\u0103ng phi m\u00e3, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u1ea5c m\u01a1 an c\u01b0 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00e2n ch\u00ednh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng xa v\u1eddi. M\u1ed9t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u01a1m ra kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ea1o ra bong b\u00f3ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n m\u00e0 c\u00f2n g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u1ee7ng khi\u1ebfp, b\u00e0o m\u00f2n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00edt \u1ecfi.<\/p>\n
Gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed sinh ho\u1ea1t leo thang, khi\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111\u00f3: c\u00fa s\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng 53.8% n\u0103m 2007 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 23% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2008, \u0111\u1ea9y h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0o c\u1ea3nh kh\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n
Vi\u1ec7c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i nguy hi\u1ec3m, hy sinh s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 GDP h\u00e0o nho\u00e1ng. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o, \u0111\u1ec3 tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u01b0u vi\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u00e0i t\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1eb1ng sau con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i, m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee9a \u0111\u1ea7y r\u1ee7i ro, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i m\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u00e0u ngh\u00e8o ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng b\u1ecb kho\u00e9t s\u00e2u b\u1edfi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m l\u1ee3i cho m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m nh\u1ecf c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n th\u00e2n h\u1eefu.<\/p>\n
Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, c\u00e1i g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201ck\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean v\u01b0\u01a1n m\u00ecnh\u201d c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u1ea3o \u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 th\u1eadt cho canh b\u1ea1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n
The post GDP 10%: T\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3<\/a> appeared first on Saigon Nh\u1ecf<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, vi\u1ec7c T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed Th\u01b0 T\u00f4 L\u00e2m \u0111\u1eb7t ra m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP tr\u00ean 10% cho n\u0103m 2026 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau kinh t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt c\u1ed1 h\u1eefu: \u0110\u1ea3ng …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[239],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vietnam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61105\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}