{"id":62280,"date":"2025-12-11T12:30:14","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T20:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/kha-nang-bung-no-chien-tranh-tai-bien-dong-co-the-dien-ra\/"},"modified":"2025-12-11T12:30:14","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T20:30:14","slug":"kha-nang-bung-no-chien-tranh-tai-bien-dong-co-the-dien-ra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/kha-nang-bung-no-chien-tranh-tai-bien-dong-co-the-dien-ra\/","title":{"rendered":"Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng, Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u gia cao c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00ednh S\u00e1ch \u00dac (Australian Strategic Policy Institute) nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 Vi\u1ec7t-Trung tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, kh\u00f4ng lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong>: C\u1ea3m \u01a1n Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh cho ch\u00fang t\u00f4i cu\u1ed9c n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay. Trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 v\u1edbi t\u1ef1a, xin t\u1ea1m d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 “S\u00f3ng gi\u00f3 s\u1eafp t\u1edbi trong quan h\u1ec7 Vi\u1ec7t-Trung”<\/a> b\u00e0 n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng “th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1980?” Xin b\u00e0 tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y th\u00eam?<\/p>\n

Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng:<\/i> <\/strong> N\u00f3i chung, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, ph\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01a1n trong khu v\u1ef1c, \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c1, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n nay quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u trong tranh ch\u1ea5p Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c tranh ch\u1ea5p v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c, bao g\u1ed3m \u0110\u00e0i Loan, bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u1edbi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 nh\u01b0 Hong Kong. Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y nay r\u1ea5t kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990, khi \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ecd theo \u0111u\u1ed5i m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1eefu ngh\u1ecb l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng t\u1ed1t. L\u00fac \u1ea5y h\u1ecd tham gia v\u00e0o c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i trong khu v\u1ef1c, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/i><\/p>\n

\"H\u00ecnh
H\u00ecnh minh ho\u1ea1. T\u00e0u chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Hoa K\u1ef3 USS Mustin \u0111i c\u00f9ng t\u00e0u chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng h\u00f4m 21\/4\/2015<\/figcaption>(Reuters)<\/small><\/figure>\n

Ng\u00e0y nay, Trung Qu\u1ed1c qu\u1ea3 quy\u1ebft h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u<\/i> . R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 h\u1ecd t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u00e2n qu\u00e2n bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng n\u01b0\u1edbc tranh ch\u1ea5p, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c y\u00eau s\u00e1ch qua vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c khu h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh m\u1edbi \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. V\u00e0 h\u1ecd r\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean tri\u1ec3n khai t\u00e0u b\u00e8 \u0111i v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c b\u00ean tranh ch\u1ea5p bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1eb7c khu kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf v\u00e0i l\u1ea7n trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng r\u1ea5t c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong tranh ch\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nguy c\u01a1 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng leo thang v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng l\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra.<\/i><\/p>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong>: B\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n nay nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o so v\u1edbi xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u0103m 1988 t\u1ea1i G\u1ea1c Ma ho\u1eb7c v\u1ee5 Trung Qu\u1ed1c k\u00e9o gi\u00e0n khoan H\u1ea3i D\u01b0\u01a1ng 981 v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a VN v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014? Sau \u0111\u00f3, VN v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp. N\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 v\u1ee5 HD-981 x\u1ea3y ra ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m th\u00ec k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 s\u1ebd ra sao?<\/p>\n

Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng: <\/i> <\/strong> C\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 1988, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c l\u1edbn, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p trong quan h\u1ec7 song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng. N\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, g\u00e2y h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c G\u1ea1c Ma, v\u00e0 ph\u00eda Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ecbu nhi\u1ec1u th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong. V\u1ee5 Trung Qu\u1ed1c k\u00e9o gi\u00e0n khoan H\u1ea3i D\u01b0\u01a1ng 981 v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ngo\u1ea1i giao. L\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng cao v\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u nguy c\u01a1 leo thang d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00eam s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00f9i b\u01b0\u1edbc. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 r\u00fat gi\u00e0n khoan HD s\u1edbm h\u01a1n k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch. Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u1eddi \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/i><\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 c\u00f4 n\u00f3i, hai qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p cao sau v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo. C\u00f3 \u00edt s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 x\u1ea3y ra h\u01a1n sau \u0111\u00f3. Nh\u01b0ng trong v\u00f2ng 18 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ebfn 2 n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 h\u01a1n. M\u1ed9t v\u00e0i s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c n\u0103m 2014. B\u00e2y gi\u1edd ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eau kh\u00edch \u0111\u00f3 gia t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi thi\u1ec7n ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ed3i xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 \u00edt \u0111i, kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 n\u0103m 2014. Hi\u1ec7n nay ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eau kh\u00edch h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 \u00edt th\u1eddi gian h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c n\u00f3.<\/i><\/p>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong>: Trong S\u00e1ch tr\u1eafng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2019, B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u0111\u01b0a ra quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00eam 1 c\u00e1i “kh\u00f4ng”: l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c trong quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.” Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y n\u00f3i l\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a g\u00ec trong quan h\u1ec7 Vi\u1ec7t-Trung?<\/p>\n

Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng:<\/i> <\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u00e1c b\u1ecf vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m m\u1edbi. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb l\u00e2u, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 ASEAN c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ebft t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1ed5 sung c\u00e1i “Kh\u00f4ng” n\u00e0y l\u00e0 c\u00e1i “kh\u00f4ng” th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 trong S\u00e1ch tr\u1eafng Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2019, l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1i kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u00e2u nay c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111i\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 n\u00e0y r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng khoan dung cho vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n. V\u00e0 t\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ho\u1eb7c b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 k\u1ebb x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0o kh\u00e1c, bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. <\/i><\/p>\n

C\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng dung th\u1ee9 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c.<\/i><\/p>\n

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T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang \u1edf trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 kh\u00e1 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 nguy hi\u1ec3m v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng l\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. -Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n:<\/strong> Nh\u01b0 ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang mu\u1ed1n gia t\u0103ng quan h\u1ec7 ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kh\u00e1c, trong khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00ec lu\u00f4n “t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf quan h\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i.” B\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gia t\u0103ng, s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1ec1 B\u1ed9 quy t\u1eafc \u1ee9ng x\u1eed gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c b\u00ean \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng (COC) nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/p>\n

Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng:<\/i> <\/strong> T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang \u1edf trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 kh\u00e1 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 nguy hi\u1ec3m v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng l\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Nh\u01b0 t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp, tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c trong khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec1u tu\u00e2n theo nh\u1eefng r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc, chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 h\u1ecd th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 cam k\u1ebft nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn. C\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn, s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong khu v\u1ef1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00e1c t\u00e0u \u0111\u1ebfn Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Kh\u00f4ng kh\u00ed n\u00f3i chung l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh. Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1ea5t nguy hi\u1ec3m v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ranh gi\u1edbi mong manh. Kh\u00f4ng ai mu\u1ed1n chi\u1ebfn tranh x\u1ea3y ra nh\u01b0ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n ranh gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3. T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c b\u00ean ph\u1ea3i ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 gi\u1eef b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh v\u00e0 c\u00e1i \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng th\u1ea5y trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y qua nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi l\u1ebd h\u00f9ng h\u1ed5 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c M\u1ef9 ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1c, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 l\u1edbn.<\/i><\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t COC, s\u1ebd th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c COC c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n nay. N\u00f3 qu\u00e1 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng, n\u00f3 qu\u00e1 ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u tham v\u1ecdng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00ec v\u1eady trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tinh th\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a COC. T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0 th\u1ebf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 hung h\u0103ng r\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i cam k\u1ebft gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft tranh ch\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng \u0111e d\u1ecda. N\u1ebfu mu\u1ed1n COC th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a, h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 thay v\u00ec t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f3.<\/i><\/p>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong>: Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn 4 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p m\u00e0 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ebfn nay, <\/i>bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c “qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u00f3a” v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, x\u1eed l\u00fd v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng (ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua ASEAN), v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1eef h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean c\u00e1c k\u00eanh ngo\u1ea1i giao kh\u00e1c. Li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a n\u00e0y c\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai? Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 n\u00f3i Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, xin b\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n khai th\u00eam v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng<\/i> <\/strong>: Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean b\u1ed1n y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh, <\/i>bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c “qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u00f3a” v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, x\u1eed l\u00fd v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng (ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua ASEAN), v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1eef h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean c\u00e1c k\u00eanh ngo\u1ea1i giao kh\u00e1c. Ch\u00fang ta v\u1eabn n\u00ean gi\u1eef b\u1ed1n y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00e0m n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng. V\u1ec1 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng v\u00e0 d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0 t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecbu nhi\u1ec1u thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 ti\u1ebfng t\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf b\u1edfi gi\u00e0n khoan H\u1ea3i D\u01b0\u01a1ng. Nh\u01b0ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, trong nh\u1eefng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng tai ti\u1ebfng. H\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 ti\u1ebfng t\u0103m nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh kh\u00e1c, t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i T\u00e2n C\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ebfn T\u00e2y T\u1ea1ng, H\u1ed3ng K\u00f4ng v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u1ea3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Covid-19. H\u1ecd b\u1ecb tai ti\u1ebfng r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, nh\u01b0ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. V\u00ec v\u1eady y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 (qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u00f3a) kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1eefa. N\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3i th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1c nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/i><\/p>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong>: Nhi\u1ec1u \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u00ean ki\u1ec7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c ra t\u00f2a \u00e1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00ec x\u00e2m ph\u1ea1m l\u00e3nh h\u1ea3i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00e0y theo b\u00e0 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2u?<\/p>\n

Ts L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng:<\/i> <\/strong> Ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn l\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc v\u00e0 n\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0 l\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00e1 n\u1eb7ng k\u00fd. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u do d\u1ef1 t\u1eeb ph\u00eda H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111ang t\u00edch c\u1ef1c chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn n\u00e0y, x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1p l\u00fd c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc khi n\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra. T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nh\u1eefng c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1ec1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y. Kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1p l\u00fd c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft tranh ch\u1ea5p c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng. Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 b\u1ecf qua \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. V\u00e0 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng vi\u1ec7c th\u01b0a ki\u1ec7n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3, gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a Philippines khi qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 tranh ch\u1ea5p ra tr\u1ecdng t\u00e0i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. <\/i><\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra c\u00f2n c\u00f3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft nh\u01b0 Philippines. Philippines \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft r\u1ea5t t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ngo\u1ea1i giao, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn, v\u00e0 ngay c\u1ea3 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Duterte c\u0169ng g\u00e1c n\u00f3 qua m\u1ed9t b\u00ean. V\u00ec v\u1eady, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p l\u00fd th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, th\u00ec li\u1ec7u n\u00f3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi h\u00e0nh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o. Li\u1ec7u n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u00ec kh\u00f4ng? <\/i><\/p>\n

Giang Nguy\u1ec5n<\/strong>: C\u1ea3m \u01a1n th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tin t\u1eeb RFA Read More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 L\u00ea Thu H\u01b0\u1eddng, Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u gia cao c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00ednh S\u00e1ch \u00dac (Australian Strategic Policy Institute) nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 Vi\u1ec7t-Trung tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, kh\u00f4ng lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c. Giang Nguy\u1ec5n: C\u1ea3m \u01a1n Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62281,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[239],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62280","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vietnam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62280","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62280"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62280\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62281"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62280"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62280"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vietvalley.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62280"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}